As South Africa gears up for the 2024 general elections, an unusual betting market has captured the attention of punters—wagers on Eskom’s load shedding schedules post elections. The Gambler explores how SunBet, a leading betting platform, has cleverly integrated this into the election buzz, offering bets on whether Level 2 or higher load shedding will occur within three weeks after a new president is declared. This novel betting angle not only reflects the nation’s ongoing struggles with power supply but also highlights the deep-seated political ramifications tied to Eskom’s operational performance.
Betting on load shedding
SunBet has tapped into the public’s anticipation and anxiety over the power situation by setting odds on the likelihood of returning to higher levels of load shedding soon after the election results are announced. The odds are decidedly skewed towards expecting more power cuts, coming in at 1.07, and with no option to bet on there being no load shedding, underscoring a widespread public distrust in the permanence of the current energy situation improvements. For some context, a R100 bet on there to be load shedding on the offered market will return R7 in profit. You can find the load shedding market on the Sunbet site under Politics > South Africa Elections.
Being a novel market don’t expect to be able to place large bets on it, as these types are bets are usually limited to the amount you can wager.
It’s also worth noting that WSB (World Sports Betting) have also priced up a similar market, offering marginally better odds than Sunbet, but once again there is not a NO market to bet on.
Understanding Load Shedding
For over a decade, South Africans have grappled with load shedding, the systematic rolling blackouts enforced by Eskom, the state-owned power entity. This has been primarily attributed to outdated infrastructure and significant mismanagement. Despite some respite in 2023, skepticism remains regarding the timing and durability of these improvements, especially with the national elections on the horizon.
The Political Overtones of Power Supply
The cessation of load shedding has coincided with the ramping up of election campaigns, leading to conjecture about its timing. President Cyril Ramaphosa insists that recent reductions in power cuts are due to effective structural enhancements at Eskom. However, opposition factions, including the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and the Democratic Alliance (DA), suggest that these are strategically timed to boost the ruling African National Congress (ANC)’s electoral prospects.
Energy Crisis at the Heart of Electoral Strategies
The persistent energy crisis has inevitably become a focal point in the electoral discourse. Opposition parties are leveraging it to critique the ANC’s governance, with the EFF vowing to eradicate load shedding within six months of election victory. Meanwhile, the DA continues to challenge the ANC’s energy policies through legal channels, making it clear that power reliability is more than a utility issue—it’s a significant electoral battleground.
Conclusion: Power, Politics, and Betting
Incorporating load shedding predictions into election betting markets brilliantly highlights the intertwined nature of Eskom’s operational issues with the broader political landscape in South Africa. As voters prepare to head to the polls in 2024, the stability of the power grid remains a pivotal issue. Whether the cessation of load shedding is a temporary electoral strategy or a sign of genuine progress remains a critical question in the minds of many South Africans. Through it all, the betting odds at SunBet offer a unique lens through which the electorate can gauge the pulse of political maneuvers and public sentiment surrounding one of the nation’s most pressing concerns. Follow The Gambler for more of the latest betting news, offers, and guides!
Over 15 years of experience in the sports and casino betting industry. I cover everything from casino games, crash games, slots and betting tips. Now Author for The Gambler.